A hot/humid day; Late storm chances
PLENTY OF HEAT/HUMIDITY
A southeasterly wind will continue to usher in more humidity from the south on Tuesday, so it will likely be an even muggier day. By Noon, we expect feels-like temperatures to be near 90°. Heat indices could surpass 100° by peak heating.
Most of Tuesday features mostly sunny skies. Actual air temperatures will top out in the low to mid-90s across the area. We’re forecasting a high near 92° in Lincoln. As one typically should on a summer day, make sure to stay plenty hydrated if you plan on being outdoors.
ANOTHER STORM POTENTIAL
Aside from some spotty showers in northern Nebraska, just about everyone is looking at dry conditions for Tuesday morning and much of the afternoon.
By late Tuesday afternoon and early evening, our attention turns to a few boundaries that will act as triggers for thunderstorm formation. One of these is a “surface trough” to the west, with the other being a “stationary front” to the north.
These boundaries will be positioned to the north and west through the day, so that’s where we expect storms to initially develop. These storms will intensify quickly, posing a severe weather risk. Damaging winds, very large hail, and a tornado or two can’t be ruled out in these areas.
These storms will continue to grow and move southeast. For that reason, the Storm Prediction Center has drawn a slight (Level 2/5) risk for severe weather from northwest Nebraska all the way down to southeast Nebraska.
The cluster of storms appears to reach southeast Nebraska around or after midnight based on the latest data. Despite the time of night, there is still a severe weather risk with these storms.
If Lincoln is able to see these storms late Tuesday night, the primary risks are damaging winds and hail. The tornado threat is very low for Lincoln given the time of night.
Some storms may linger into Wednesday, but things should begin to quiet down from an organized severe weather standpoint. We’ll keep a few more storm chances for the rest of the week.
Meteorologist Malcolm Byron
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Twitter: @mbyronwx